By Bob Stokes
5/16/2012 5:30:00 PM
Almost all bank buildings look solid on the outside. But, of course, the goings-on inside are what count. Greece is again in the spotlight, yet we know the financial health of other European banks is the bigger question...
Filed Under: banks, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, Goldman Sachs, soverign debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/15/2012 9:15:00 PM
Today, EUR/USD, the exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar -- and also the world's most-traded forex market -- fell to near $1.27, a low not seen since January. Just two weeks ago, it stood almost 600 points (or pips, in forex lingo) higher. What if someone asked you back in April -- before this month's news from Europe -- where the euro would trade in May? For many forex traders, the answer would be...
Filed Under: debt crisis, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, online trading, sentiment, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/14/2012 3:30:00 PM
The European single currency, the euro, was introduced in 1999. Today its report card -- and that of the eurozone -- looks impressive. Why, then, is the euro also quickly becoming one of the most suspect currencies in the world?
Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, socionomics
Category: Global Markets
Bank Capital Rules: A Reminder of 2008
"In 2008 there was a credit crisis. The next five years will bring on the credit crisis."
By Bob Stokes
5/10/2012 5:00:00 PM
Is our financial system stronger today than it was four years ago? Most people might think so; mainstream news analysis rarely suggests otherwise. But here's what the public remains mostly in the dark about...
Filed Under: banks, central banks, conquer the crash, credit rating, debt crisis, debt downgrade, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, hedge funds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/7/2012 9:15:00 PM
Bonds are a stepchild of the financial news world. Stocks, forex, energy, commodities -- all those markets get their spotlight many times a day on financial TV and in other media. Bonds, not so much. Bonds are complicated. For starters, there are lots of different bonds: Treasury, sovereign, agency, municipal, corporate; high-grade and high-yield (a.k.a. junk), etc. Then you have bond prices and bond yields; when one goes up, the other one goes down… Now multiply that across a dozen different nations. There is a lot going on.
Filed Under: Bear market, debt, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, eurozone, Interest Rates, safe haven, trade targets, U.S. Treasuries
Category: Interest Rates
EUR/USD Dips Below $1.30
Was Mario Draghi's speech a bullish or bearish event for the euro? How about BOTH?
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/7/2012 5:30:00 PM
We've shown you before examples of how easy it is to interpret the same event as both bullish and bearish news for a market. Here's a fresh example. On May 3, the European Central Bank met to talk about interest rates. At that meeting, the ECB's chief Mario Draghi...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, forex, forex trading, online trading, Swiss franc, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy
Category: Currencies
By Nico Isaac
5/4/2012 6:00:00 PM
It’s been two years since the sovereign debt crisis crashed onto the European shores. And, despite 1-plus trillion euros in emergency bailout loans, the region’s economy has -- as my British friends would say -- “gone pear-shaped.” So, is this what rock bottom feels like?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
5/4/2012 4:15:00 PM
Very rare exceptions aside, money markets have been safe. Learn why they now may be a lot less safe...
Filed Under: money markets, banks, central banks, credit crisis, debt crisis, deflation, economic depression, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), mutual funds, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)
Category: U.S. Economy
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2012 4:15:00 PM
The euro's slow upward grind from the April 15 low of near $1.31 ended with a bang on May 1. The violent decline that started that day and continued on May 2 very quickly -- as it usually happens -- erased almost all of the gains from the two-week rally. The move has been widely blamed on "European debt crisis worries." Of course...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/1/2012 9:15:00 AM
To continue the "global investments" theme started by the recent interview with EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst about the markets in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Indonesia, I also sat down with our own Brian Whitmer, EWI's European stock market analyst. -- Brian, these days it's easier than ever to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But there are too many markets to focus on, and too many opinions about them. You chose Elliott wave analysis as your market-forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news, like most investors? Brian Whitmer: To be successful in the market, you need...
Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, brian whitmer, CAC40, DAX, debt crisis, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: Global Markets
By Bob Stokes
4/27/2012 4:00:00 PM
Shortly after the fourteenth European debt crisis summit concluded and there was an "extraordinary shift from negativity to optimism," the November 2011 Global Market Perspective flatly said "The current level of unpayable debt is too big to bail." Yet financial journalists and many of the economists they interview have been busy talking about rising markets and recovering economies. Some were even saying that Europe's debt crisis was "under control." It seems not...
Filed Under: debt downgrade, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Short Term Update, soverign debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
4/23/2012 2:15:00 PM
Here's an example of how EWI helps you see what's going to happen financially in Europe before it happens: Just five days after our analyst published his analysis last year, showing that Portugal was on the threshold of needing a bailout, Portugal's government officially requested a bailout. One month later, it got one.
Filed Under: bailouts, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone
Category: European Markets
By Nico Isaac
4/20/2012 5:30:00 PM
It’s been over two years since the European Central Bank began its open-heart surgery of the eurozone's anemic economy. So far, the procedure has included an unprecedented $3 trillion-plus in bailouts, monetary transfusions, AND toxic debt transplants. Yet, according to a recent slew of discomforting news reports, the economies across the pond would still flatline in seconds without constant life support.
Filed Under: bailouts, banks, central banks, Club EWI, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, monetary policy
Category: European Markets
By Nico Isaac
3/30/2012 6:30:00 PM
Let's hear it for European equities. The major stock markets across the pond saw their best first-quarter winning streak since 2006. And while many experts are waiting to see how the markets deal with Europe's austerity measures -- the April 2012 European Financial Forecast lets the cat out the bag: "European Stocks Have Already Signaled" their next move. Take note, because this is what it feels like to watch history in the making.
Filed Under: AEX, banks, CAC40, DAX, debt, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, inflation, Swiss Market Index (SMI)
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
3/27/2012 4:45:00 PM
There is a reason that citizens should be concerned about excessive sovereign debt. National governments have defaulted on their obligations, and those events do have consequences. Read what Robert Prechter has to say about the impending credit implosion...
Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt crisis, deflation, European debt crisis, history, Robert Prechter, soverign debt crisis
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
3/22/2012 6:00:00 PM
Our Financial Forecast has said for years that the bailouts and the European Union itself would come to grief, even as other observers were optimistic. Here's a case in point...
Filed Under: Club EWI, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Category: U.S. Economy
EUR/USD: Why You Should Be Wary of "Fundamentals"
A quick look at the recent history of the euro-dollar exchange rate and its "fundamental" background
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/14/2012 6:00:00 PM
Please see if you can guess when these 4 forex-related headlines were published (all from major news sources). As you've probably guessed, it's a trick question...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, Greek debt, trading lessons, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/4/2012 11:45:00 AM
When you look at a long-term chart of Europe's four main stock indexes --- the DAX, FTSE-100, CAC-40 and EuroStoxx 50 -- you notice one striking detail: Since at least 2000, every prolonged stock market rally turned out to be a set-up for another devastating crash. This fact is obvious when you glance at the opening chart of EWI's new, March 2012 European Financial Forecast. Of course, European stocks have rallied strongly off their 2009 lows, too. What should you make of this?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, debt crisis, debt downgrade, economic depression, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, investment decisions, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
A 13-Year Trend Channel Line In Gold Sends A Clear Message
Our February Elliott Wave Finanical Forecast presents a compelling chart of a channel line in gold that goes back to 1999.
By Nico Isaac
2/28/2012 4:00:00 PM
Hedge funds love it. Housewives love it. And now, pooch hounds love it. On February 26, the world's fascination with gold reached unchartered "terrier"-tory when the scene-stealing Uggie the Jack Russell dog from "The Artist" sported an 18-carat gold bone-shaped tag to the 84th Academy Awards. So, as demand for gold continues to soar, the question is: Will gold prices do the same?
Filed Under: bailouts, bull market, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, financial forecast, fundamental analysis, Gold, Greek debt, precious metals
Category: Gold and Silver
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/24/2012 6:00:00 PM
Since February 22, EUR/USD (the euro-dollar exchange rate and most-traded forex pair) has rocketed almost 300 pips -- to close the week near $1.3840. That's a move any forex trader would have loved to catch. But those who only looked at the mainstream forex news headlines on February 22 probably missed this rally. Here's why...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Swiss franc, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy
Category: Currencies