By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/15/2012 9:15:00 PM
Today, EUR/USD, the exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar -- and also the world's most-traded forex market -- fell to near $1.27, a low not seen since January. Just two weeks ago, it stood almost 600 points (or pips, in forex lingo) higher. What if someone asked you back in April -- before this month's news from Europe -- where the euro would trade in May? For many forex traders, the answer would be...
Filed Under: debt crisis, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, online trading, sentiment, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/14/2012 3:30:00 PM
The European single currency, the euro, was introduced in 1999. Today its report card -- and that of the eurozone -- looks impressive. Why, then, is the euro also quickly becoming one of the most suspect currencies in the world?
Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, socionomics
Category: Global Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/9/2012 3:15:00 PM
About once a week , the editor of EWI's forex-focused Currency Specialty Service, Jim Martens, records a video for his subscribers. The goal of each video is two-fold: to deliver a fresh market update, but also to teach a valuable lesson in Elliott wave analysis. Watch this 7-minute Aussie dollar video.
Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, forex trading, online trading, Swiss franc, trading lessons, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy
Category: Currencies
EUR/USD Dips Below $1.30
Was Mario Draghi's speech a bullish or bearish event for the euro? How about BOTH?
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/7/2012 5:30:00 PM
We've shown you before examples of how easy it is to interpret the same event as both bullish and bearish news for a market. Here's a fresh example. On May 3, the European Central Bank met to talk about interest rates. At that meeting, the ECB's chief Mario Draghi...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, forex, forex trading, online trading, Swiss franc, technical analysis, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy
Category: Currencies
By Nico Isaac
5/4/2012 6:00:00 PM
It’s been two years since the sovereign debt crisis crashed onto the European shores. And, despite 1-plus trillion euros in emergency bailout loans, the region’s economy has -- as my British friends would say -- “gone pear-shaped.” So, is this what rock bottom feels like?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2012 4:15:00 PM
The euro's slow upward grind from the April 15 low of near $1.31 ended with a bang on May 1. The violent decline that started that day and continued on May 2 very quickly -- as it usually happens -- erased almost all of the gains from the two-week rally. The move has been widely blamed on "European debt crisis worries." Of course...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/1/2012 9:15:00 AM
To continue the "global investments" theme started by the recent interview with EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst about the markets in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Indonesia, I also sat down with our own Brian Whitmer, EWI's European stock market analyst. -- Brian, these days it's easier than ever to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But there are too many markets to focus on, and too many opinions about them. You chose Elliott wave analysis as your market-forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news, like most investors? Brian Whitmer: To be successful in the market, you need...
Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, brian whitmer, CAC40, DAX, debt crisis, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: Global Markets
Why Consider This $4-Trillion-a-Day Market? Part II
Elliott Wave International's forex expert discusses the pros and cons of speculating in currencies vs. stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/23/2012 2:30:00 PM
Elliott Wave International presents Part II of the interview with Jim Martens. (Read Part I here.)
Filed Under: currency, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, forex, forex trading, online trading, prechter, risk appetite, risk management, Swiss franc, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), usd/jpy, volatility
Category: Currencies
Why Consider This $4-Trillion-a-Day Market? Part I
Elliott Wave International's forex expert discusses the pros and cons of speculating in currencies vs. stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/19/2012 4:30:00 PM
Elliott Wave International presents Part I of the interview with its Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens: Jim, our readers often tell us that they want to make money trading the markets. There are lots of options for would-be speculators out there. Your area is forex -- the market which has grown by leaps and bounds lately. Can you explain why I'd want to look at forex and not, say, the more "traditional" stock trading? Jim Martens: ...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, forex, forex trading, online trading, short selling, sterling, Swiss franc, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/3/2012 2:30:00 PM
Here's a paradox for you. On Monday (April 2), unemployment in the 17 euro nations reached a record high of 10.8% -- highest ever since the euro was introduced in 1999. Reports say eurozone manufacturing activity had fallen to a 3-month low. The words "Eurozone recession" are being muttered. Meanwhile, the latest U.S. employment and manufacturing reports have been strong. You'd think the euro would be crushed -- but no. Why?
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar, unemployment
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2012 1:00:00 PM
At least once a week usually, the editor of EWI's forex-focused Currency Specialty Service, Jim Martens, records a video for his subscribers. Watch as he delivers this valuable 4-minute Elliott wave lesson using EUR/USD as an example.
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
EUR/USD: Why You Should Be Wary of "Fundamentals"
A quick look at the recent history of the euro-dollar exchange rate and its "fundamental" background
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/14/2012 6:00:00 PM
Please see if you can guess when these 4 forex-related headlines were published (all from major news sources). As you've probably guessed, it's a trick question...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, Greek debt, trading lessons, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/21/2012 5:00:00 PM
Last Wednesday (Feb. 15), the financial world was awaiting the results of the latest Greek bailout negotiations. The opinions of its effects were divided. Elliott wave analysis, on the other hand, allows you to make probability-based forecasts without relying on the news. Watch >>
Filed Under: euro, euro/USD exchange rate, European debt crisis, forex, forex trading, online trading, Swiss franc, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/16/2012 4:30:00 PM
On February 16, EUR/USD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the most actively traded forex pair, surged over 170 pips, from below $1.30 to above $1.3150. The explanations for the strong rally boiled down to "hopes" that the Greek bond-swap deal would be reached. But as we've pointed out before, explanations such as these make sense only in retrospect.
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
Forex Insight: EURUSD Pushes Higher, But for How Long?
Where will the euro go on February 9? How about on the 10th, or the day after? The latest European "fundamentals" can’t really help you with that
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/8/2012 5:15:00 PM
"NEW YORK -- The euro moved toward a two-month high as news reports challenged hopes that the European Central Bank may be the clinch to an agreement on a second bailout for Greece." (Feb. 8, Wall Street Journal) Great. Now that you know why EURUSD moved higher on February 8, where will it go on February 9? How about on the 10th? The "fundamentals" can’t really help you with that.
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/18/2012 6:30:00 PM
What was it about the Elliott wave structure of EURUSD (the euro-dollar exchange rate and world's most actively traded forex pair) that told our analysts to expect EURUSD to fall in the second half of 2011? Let's look at a sample of our actual analysis.
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, prechter, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/4/2012 7:00:00 PM
Looking back at 2011, almost everyone agrees that the euro weakness/dollar strength we saw was only logical. Seriously, where else was the euro to go but down last year, with all the problems in Europe? It's a wonder EURUSD didn't fall any lower! "Fundamentally"-based explanations like this always make perfect sense when you look back. It's when you try to apply them going forward, that's when it gets tricky. I'll give you an example.
Filed Under: Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, Traders, trading lessons, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/21/2011 6:15:00 PM
On December 21, EURUSD shot up to $1.3200. Forex news headlines were quick to comment: "Euro rises on stronger US, European data." But after EURUSD hit that high, it proptly reversed and crashed down to the $1.3000 level, where it had been stuck all week. You may ask: What happened to that "euro-boost" from the "stronger US and European data"? Good question, and here's the answer...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/16/2011 4:15:00 PM
On November 4, when EUR/USD was trading near $1.38, EWI's Senior Currency Strategist and the editor of our forex-focused Currency Specialty Service, Jim Martens, recorded this video --
bearish on the EURUSD (bullish on the USD). Since then, EURUSD fell from 1.38 to below $1.30. Watch Jim explain what turned him bearish the euro, bullish the dollar on November 4 >>
Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar, video
Category: Currencies
EUR/USD: 10 Pips Away From the "Abyss"
You don't have to wait for more news from Europe to know where the euro and dollar are headed
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/13/2011 6:45:00 PM
On December 13, EUR/USD (the euro-dollar exchange rate and the most actively-traded forex market) fell as low as $1.3010. That's just 10 pips away from the psychologically important $1.30 level, the threshold of another potential "abyss" for the euro...
Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies